2017 Preview: Europe’s security and political risk outlook
For the European Union and the wider European region 2016 has been a year of intense political, social and economic tensions. The continent continues to be subject to the negative impact of crises...
View ArticleFuture Generator: Uganda media coverage to remain negative in early February
The ‘Future Generator’ is a highly unique and cutting-edge approach to forecasting ‘media sentiment’, developed by a partnership between Global Risk Insights (GRI) and Ethnographic Edge (EE). The aim...
View ArticleMay day: Breaking down the upcoming French election
With four front-runners facing difficult sets of issues, the electoral campaign is likely to be tumultuous with continued weakening French institutions. On Sunday, January 29th the French Socialist...
View ArticleAs Algeria’s Bouteflika withers, so does the country’s outlook
The ailing health of Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika has been a source of concern for over four years. It has helped fuel speculation over who will succeed him and what could be in store for...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Will 2019 make or break Botswana?
Botswana’s opposition will run a single candidate in 2019 in order to unseat the long-ruling BDP. The country’s political and economic future are at stake. Botswana’s four main opposition parties...
View ArticleSpecial Report: Is Myanmar’s honeymoon with Aung San Suu Kyi over?
Myanmar’s upcoming by-election on April 1st will be the first chance for Burmese voters to rate the performance of Aung San Suu Kyi and her government since her rise to power in 2015. A widely...
View ArticleEast Timor needs more than peaceful elections to survive
The successful conclusion of East Timor’s 2017 presidential election has been lauded as another positive milestone for the country’s fledgling democracy. The recent election was the first to occur...
View ArticleFrench elections: Why winning could be the easiest part for Macron
On May 7, France will vote to elect its president in a runoff between far-right candidate Marine Le Pen and the centrist Emmanuel Macron. Macron is predicted to win but will face political challenges...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Could Mongolia’s June election see a populist upset?
Mongolia enters 2017 on the heels of the global commodity slump that torpedoed the country’s economy and provides the backdrop for the upcoming presidential election in June. Mongolia’s economic growth...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Kenya Votes 2017 – Bloody ghost of 2007 set for comeback
Domestic and international observers are hoping that Kenya’s 2017 election will not be an encore presentation of 2007; however, there are worrying signs that many of the risks which played a role in...
View ArticleFading tulips: Kyrgyz presidential vote comes amid rising authoritarianism
The presidential election in Kyrgyzstan to be held on 15 October 2017 promises to be the region’s most contentious and unpredictable since the disintegration of the Soviet Union. It follows the 2005...
View ArticleThe Week Ahead: 15-21 October
China’s 19th Party Congress. Egypt’s state of emergency. Catalonian independence. Elections in Kyrgyzstan. US-Turkey relations. All in The Week Ahead. Power plays at China’s 19th Communist Party...
View ArticleAs Algeria’s Bouteflika withers, so does the country’s outlook
The ailing health of Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika has been a source of concern for over four years. It has helped fuel speculation over who will succeed him and what could be in store for...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Will 2019 make or break Botswana?
Botswana’s opposition will run a single candidate in 2019 in order to unseat the long-ruling BDP. The country’s political and economic future are at stake. Botswana’s four main opposition parties...
View ArticleSpecial Report: Is Myanmar’s honeymoon with Aung San Suu Kyi over?
Myanmar’s upcoming by-election on April 1st will be the first chance for Burmese voters to rate the performance of Aung San Suu Kyi and her government since her rise to power in 2015. A widely...
View ArticleEast Timor needs more than peaceful elections to survive
The successful conclusion of East Timor’s 2017 presidential election has been lauded as another positive milestone for the country’s fledgling democracy. The recent election was the first to occur...
View ArticleFrench elections: Why winning could be the easiest part for Macron
On May 7, France will vote to elect its president in a runoff between far-right candidate Marine Le Pen and the centrist Emmanuel Macron. Macron is predicted to win but will face political challenges...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Could Mongolia’s June election see a populist upset?
Mongolia enters 2017 on the heels of the global commodity slump that torpedoed the country’s economy and provides the backdrop for the upcoming presidential election in June. Mongolia’s economic growth...
View ArticleUnder the Radar: Kenya Votes 2017 – Bloody ghost of 2007 set for comeback
Domestic and international observers are hoping that Kenya’s 2017 election will not be an encore presentation of 2007; however, there are worrying signs that many of the risks which played a role in...
View ArticleFading tulips: Kyrgyz presidential vote comes amid rising authoritarianism
The presidential election in Kyrgyzstan to be held on 15 October 2017 promises to be the region’s most contentious and unpredictable since the disintegration of the Soviet Union. It follows the 2005...
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